1. 23 Apr, 2021 3 commits
    • Chris Jewell's avatar
      Change to Rt calculation to fix discretisation error · 35f04b91
      Chris Jewell authored
      Investigation showed that the high rate of cases in the UK in January
      caused a significant discretisation error between the chain binomial
      model and continuous time analogues.  The previous Rt calculation
      made use of a continuous time approximation, and so gave biased
      estimates of Rt.
      
      The new implementation calculates Rt using expectations of the chain
      binomial model in terms of transition probabilities, not rates as
      previously.
      35f04b91
    • Chris Jewell's avatar
      Merge branch 'fix-prediction-weekday' into 'master' · 62f9ec37
      Chris Jewell authored
      Fix for weekday effect in prediction
      
      See merge request !37
      62f9ec37
    • Chris Jewell's avatar
      Fix for weekday effect in prediction · 3df0dd34
      Chris Jewell authored
      Previously, when generating forward predictions, the model used the latest value of
      gamma1 for all time points.  This created a prediction artefact depending on what the
      last day of the observed timeseries was.   This is now corrected by projecting the weekday
      forward in time.
      3df0dd34
  2. 20 Apr, 2021 1 commit
  3. 15 Apr, 2021 1 commit
  4. 14 Apr, 2021 2 commits
  5. 11 Apr, 2021 2 commits
  6. 30 Mar, 2021 2 commits
  7. 24 Mar, 2021 5 commits
  8. 21 Mar, 2021 1 commit
  9. 20 Mar, 2021 1 commit
  10. 18 Mar, 2021 1 commit
    • Chris Jewell's avatar
      Add push to AWS S3 option · 16bad2b7
      Chris Jewell authored
      CHANGES:
      
      1. Add option to upload results to AWS S3 bucket
      2. Remove generation of insample plots from pipeline
      16bad2b7
  11. 17 Mar, 2021 3 commits
  12. 16 Mar, 2021 5 commits
  13. 15 Mar, 2021 1 commit
  14. 10 Mar, 2021 1 commit
  15. 06 Mar, 2021 4 commits
  16. 05 Mar, 2021 1 commit
  17. 04 Mar, 2021 5 commits
  18. 03 Mar, 2021 1 commit